Failure in Iraq: It’s Hobbes First, Then Jefferson/Madison

On May 1st, 2003 when then President George W. Bush, declared the end of major combat operations and the mission Iraqi Freedom to be “accomplished” aboard the USS Abraham Lincoln aircraft carrier, much of the failure and dying in Iraq still lay ahead.

Mission Accomplished Banner on USS Abraham Lincoln

Mission Accomplished Banner on the USS Abraham Lincoln

The invasion, starting on March 19, 2003, had been a remarkable military success, on schedule and with comparatively few casualties (139 US troops and approximately 7,500 civilians before May 1, 2003 according to CNN and Iraq Body Count estimates, respectively).

In the insurgency that followed (and has recently slightly abated), more than 4,000 US troops and 60,000 Iraqi civilians were killed (ibid.). To this date, seven years after “major hostilities” ended, the country is still plagued by sectarian violence and crime, marred by economic hardship and destruction and paralyzed by deeply divided politics and dysfunctional government. The vision and partial casus belli of the “Coalition of the Willing”, to turn Iraq into a role model liberal democracy for the Middle East, has not materialized. Instead, the suffering and dying continues.

What happened?

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Low-Carbon Tech, an Infant Industry in Need of Protection

How to react to global warming? How do wean ourselves off that harmful oil – and still prosper?

I maintained that we’d better be safe with Sinn‘s fears of a Green Paradox than sorry without him, notwithstanding the uncertainties of his argument.

Economist Hans-Werner Sinn is no easy read for a green German: he pretty much pulls german and European green policy into pieces. Much of his critique is plausible, if unsettling: without international cooperation, much of our unilateral efforts may be in vain.

But there’s one thing where I wholeheartedly disagree with Sinn: low-carbon technology, for the time being, does indeed require subsidies.

Renewables / via Flickr, originally uploaded by Chad Johnson

Renewables / via Flickr, originally uploaded by Chad Johnson

Yes, it may be hard for states to pick winners, but low-carbon technology still needs infant industry incubation, if it is to sustain us in the near future.

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Merry Christmas, Bethlehem Ephrata, though thou be little …

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“But thou, Bethlehem Ephratah, though thou be little among the thousands of Judah, yet out of thee shall he come forth unto me that is to be ruler in Israel; whose goings forth have been from of old, from everlasting.”
Micah
(5:2), King James Version

Marienkirche Leeste, Germany / Christmas 2007
Marienkirche Leeste, Germany / Christmas 2007

Last Christmas, Pastor Brusermann at a local church near my hometown (Weyhe’s Felicianius Church) told the congregation that Christmas also meant that “this world could be made good, again”.

The reverends inspirational sermon stuck with me, and the beauty and the power of the nativity story occurred to me, again, and anew.

“Whenever I get gloomy with the state of the world, I think about the arrival’s gate at Heathrow Airport.”
Fictional UK Prime Minister David of the 2003 romantic comedy Love Actually.

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The Copenhagen Game

The Big Ask is on: These days, the leaders of the world convene in Copenhagen for the 15th time to address that “greatest and widest ranging market failure ever seen“: Climate Change.

Will they ward off that Tragedy of the Commons of our time? We don’t know.

They are playing games in Copenhagen. Not of the entertaining kind, but of the intricately interdependent kind.

The Green Paradox is one of those intricacies: are we reckoning without our fossil-fuel supplying hosts? What are their stakes?

Let’s get the rules straight. Then let’s see what we can do to improve our collective odds for a cooler planet.

And while we’re at it, let’s level out this playing field.

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The Perfect Tax

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Have you met the perfect tax?

The duty that is both elegant, and fair. The regime that lets our economies grow, and have everyone partake in its fruits. The excise that reconciles efficiency with equity. The set of rules that raises the revenue for a potent polity, and, at the same time, curbs wasteful decadence, to form that more perfect union.

If you haven’t met the perfect tax, let me introduce you: the postpaid progressive consumption tax.

The secret of the perfect tax? It burdens that behavior which is truly wasteful and undesirable: excessive consumption. It leaves all other economic activities unaffected.

Together with a negative income-tax for poor income earners and, possibly, a wealth tax to avoid boundless capital accumulation, it can replace all other redistributive taxes, both on individuals and corporations. Read on for more.

Children's coats, starting at $340.  Via flickr, originally uploaded by permanently scatterbrained
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Setting the Goalposts Right

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What do we want from policy analysis?
This question recently came up in a discussion on new EU member state policy on poverty and social exclusion.
It’s not a simple question. And it depends an awful lot on what we accept as given.
In many discussions on EU enlargement and related social and tax policy reform, as in the broader context of liberalization, I think we too readily accept as inevitable a (mis)configuration of the international political economy which really is of our own choosing.
Let’s think this over. Read on for more.

Foggy Goalposts, originally uploaded by Boocal.

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Let’s spread the wealth around a little

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Empty Bulgari Shop DisplayIt occurs to me, in the current economic crisis, and in public debt-ridden times to come, more than ever, discussions on public policy conclude in a shoulder-shrugging realization that we knew what to do about it. If only, we could afford to.

I’m getting tired of this resignation, be it in fighting climate change, in improving public education, or in helping out the weak, at home, and abroad.

I want a strong polity that can do these things. I want more, not less government. A better state.

How do we get there? We do what we used to be able to do: we reclaim our responsibility to channel the resources to the goods we collectively value the most.

We redistribute. It’s not a dirty word. It doesn’t hurt growth. It’s not socialism.

And no, it’s not impossible.

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