First demographic “exercise” completed

english

//en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population on October 25, 2007.

Population density in countries of the world, retrieved from http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Population on October 25, 2007.

I have today completed my first assignment in demographics, a mostly empirical exercise in explaining global patterns of fertility, population growth and life expectancy through levels of socio-economic development, reflecting the theory of demographic transition. In this specific exercise, I looked at the relationship between population development and the degree of female schooling, urbanization and national income (GNP/capita). Surprising at first sight, but in line with much prominent research, I found female schooling to be most strongly related to suppressing population growth and increasing life expectancy.

Continue reading

Dynamics, causes and consequences of postindustrial value change: Germany in international perspective

english

wvs-dfgValue research and, in particular the World Values Survey and Inglehart’s and Welzel’s Human Development Theory were one of my academic interests since early on in my undergraduate studies of Integrated Social Sciences at Jacobs University Bremen. I had worked on this topic with colleagues and would later write my BA thesis on the topic. 

This is why I gladly accepted when Franziska Deutsch, project manager for the german analysis of the latest, now 5th wave of the World Values Survey asked me during the summer break of 2006 whether I wanted to join the German Research Council-funded project as a junior project assistant, lead by principal investigator and co-director of the World Values Survey, my teacher and academic advisor Prof. Dr. Chris Welzel. I was excited about this opportunity to get involved in current research, learn from the other team members, and, together with them, get my hands on fresh-out-of-the-field data, that had never been analyzed before.

Continue reading

Bachelor thesis completed

english

Today, I have submitted my Bachelor Thesis, my final written work for my studies of Integrated Social Sciences at Jacobs University Bremen

This thesis provides a critical account of Inglehart’s and Welzel’s (2005) concept of the self-expression syndrome. In their variant of Modernization Theory, this increasing orientation to a broadening of human choice is the driving force for democratization. A massive body of cross-national evidence has been provided, linking high levels of these emancipative values with democratic performance. It is argued here that the explanatory power of self-expression values may be a catch-up effect and that an ever more emancipative culture may eventually become  detrimental to (representative) democratic performance. Congruency theory is invoked to investigate how the self-expression syndrome corresponds to the input and output aspects of representative polities. 

Some tentative empirical findings from the World Values Surveys indicate that highly self-expressive individuals are more likely to participate in unconventional activities as well as in voluntary associations than others and that they are not substantially less likely than others to endorse political trade-offs. They are furthermore found to be somewhat more likely to engage in some forms of civic defection. Methodological issues, suggestions for further research and policy implications are discussed. 

Not only for this thesis, but indeed for much of what I have learned about value research and quantitative methodology during my past three years of study at Jacobs University, I owe a great debt to my academic advisor Prof. Dr. Chris Welzel and my supervisor Franziska Deutsch. I was fortunate to work for them on the DFG-funded project “Dynamics, Causes and Consequences of Postindustrial Value Change – Germany in International Comparison” (DFG-Nr. WE 2266/6-1), an experience that has deepened my understanding of value research and has greatly inspired this thesis. In many respects, I have benefited from the open and controversial discussions on theory, methodology and quantitative analysis.  

I would like to thank Franziska Deutsch for her feedback on this thesis. 

Moreover, I am grateful to Laura Dannenberg and Max Palm for their valuable remarks on previous manuscripts. 

This thesis is in part based on a group project submitted for the seminar “Secondary Data Analysis”, held by Prof. Dr. Petra Lietz at Jacobs University Bremen in Spring 2006. For their openness to debate and their tremendous perseverance I am indebted to Lisa Heindl, Anja Jungermann and Henrik Mädler. 

Please find attached the complete thesis available for download.

Questioning the merits of emancipation

englishgerman

More recent ventures in Human Development Theory have provided rich empirical support for the claim that processes of human emancipation are intimately tied with civicness and democratic performance of any given society (compare Inglehart & Welzel 2005, full citation in the attached paper).

For our class “Secondary Data Analysis” my colleagues Lisa Heindl, Anja Jungermann, Henrik Mädler and I set out on an ambitious project: to disconfirm the universality of the above claim. We hypothesized that the explanatory power (R2 in technical terms) of emancipation on civicness and democratic performance would decrease over higher levels of the former. In other words, once a certain catch-up effect is realized, more emancipation has no, or possibly even a reverse effect on civicness and democratic performance.

Held, Heindl, Jungermann & Mädler (2006)

Visualization: Held, Heindl, Jungermann & Mädler (2006)

Continue reading

World Values Surveys: value orientations & socio-economic status

englishgerman

It has been shown that beyond institutional and material conditions, mass beliefs can help explain differences in democratic and economic development between human societies (Inglehart & Welzel 2005). Human Development, argue Inglehart and Welzel can be understood as a process of emancipation, cherishing ever more choice (ibd.). Two dimensions of respective value changes can be identified; one towards secular-rational values, reflecting the transition to modern industrial society, and, one towards self-expression values, typical for postmodern and postindustrial societies (ibd.).

earth-by-night

Continue reading